Cepheid Grapples With A Diagnostics Timetable

Anyone looking at investing in diagnostics would do well to consider the cautionary, still-evolving tale of Cepheid as an indication of the complexities inherent in building a new diagnostic enterprise. Cepheid has more going for it than most diagnostic start-ups, including steady revenues from innovative products and an experienced management team with a proven track-record at deal-making. But it faces continual funding issues and a longer-than-expected time frame to profitability.

Investors are looking more favorably at diagnostics than they have in years—driven in part by major success stories despite tumultuous public and private markets. In the public markets, Gen-Probe Inc. , and Roche 's Igen International Inc. are stand-out examples of diagnostics' ability to deliver stellar returns. (See "Roche Pays $1.4 billion for Igen and Gets Peace of Mind," IN VIVO, September 2003 Also see "Roche Pays $1.4 Billion for Igen and Gets Peace of Mind" - In Vivo, 1 September, 2003..)

Still, anyone looking at the field would do well to consider the cautionary, still-evolving tale of Cepheid as an indication of the complexities inherent in building a new diagnostic enterprise. Cepheid has more going for it than most diagnostic start-ups. For starters, its CEO and president, John Bishop, has a track record of success in building diagnostic businesses. The firm recently won a lucrative, steady biodefense contract from the United States Postal Service (USPS) as part of a consortium led by Northrup Grumman, and, in March, it introduced its first clinical diagnostic assay

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